![]() ![]() You may be right about anti-'wong' measures opening the door for other +EV bets, He is talking about how the books using anti-Wong measures opens the door for other + ev plays." The wording is kind of confusing but, when I finally put it together, it seemed like something to look for. I found this on another forum from a guy who seems pretty smart. To be specific, 20% of games are Wong worthy, so in a 16-game week, you can expect an average of 3.2 such games. However, few weeks have that many qualifying games. You can find the 7 and 10 for 5- and 6-leg teasers at lots of places. The pays of 1.8 for a 3-leg, and 3 for a 4-leg, are available only at Jerry's Nugget. ![]() This table shows the expected return at the best available odds. I think the bad years of 01 to 05 were just a temporary drought. From 1994 to 2012 this probability has been 73.23%. To break even on a 3-team teaser that pays 9 to 5, the probability of winning each leg must be 70.95%. This chart shows the probability of any given leg in a Wong teaser winning, by year, not counting ties. This is when I actively bet them, of course, and got discouraged with losing a lot of money. This may be because (1) it is harder to find the good lines, and (2) 2001 to 2005 were bad years for them. Based on just chatter, it seems interest in them has faded. It must be done on points spreads of +1.5 to +2.5 or -7.5 to -8.5. ![]() For those who don't know what a Wong teaser is, it is a 6-point off the board teaser that crosses the margin of victories of 3 and 7. ![]()
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